news corp

Rumor: newspaper-sized Kindle to launch this week?

Is this the week that Amazon will launch its much anticipated newspaper and magazine sized Kindle? The New York Times is speculating yes. That would push up the date two quarters (from the Q4 09 announcement Amazon itself made). The question, though, is will it be enough to save newspapers hit by the double whammy of the recession and the migration to free content via the Web.

Amazon, News Corp, Hearst, and Plastic Logic, are all working on tabloid-sized e-reading devices with anticipation being high that Amazon’s current Kindle model of charging readers for newspaper subscriptions could be applied to the other devices to help beef up sagging bottom lines. Newspapers selling on the current Kindle, including The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post and USA Today, would be the first to benefit from larger format devices.

The Times charges $13.00 a month for access; The Journal is $9.99. Updates are daily via the Kindle’s cellular connection.

We’ve written about the Kindle several already. In one piece, we suggested that even if The New York Times bought every one of its subscribers a Kindle, by killing its print run, it would come out ahead by some $346 million. We also reported that the Times could be earning as much as $1.6 million from Kindle sales.

There are shortcomings in the current display technology – as good as e-Ink is for reading books, it may prove to be unsuccessful for newspapers. E-Ink currently is black and white only and can’t display videos, one of the mainstays of the online press.

That gives Apple, which is also rumored to be launching a large-screen iPod as early as this summer, a serious leg up with its full color touch screen display. That also could be the dedicated e-reading device’s downfall: the iPod Touch has a full-fledged browser which would continue newspapers’ current conundrum of not being able to charge for content via a proprietary delivery system.

Yes, an LCD screen is harder on the eyes than an e-Ink one, but an all-in-one device that plays iTunes and surfs the Web may be too much to resist.

Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos remained upbeat about Amazon’s ability to compete with Apple. When asked in February whether he thought the Kindle could help print media, he replied that he thought there were “genuine opportunities.”

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A look at yesterday’s media stock drops

On the day that the Dow dropped below 8,000 for the first time in five years, PaidContent.org took a look at how tech and media stocks fared yesterday. We’ve already been tracking many of these drops for you here, but seeing the one-day crash all in one place is sobering to say the least.

Here’s what’s on PaidContent’s list.

– Yahoo was down yesterday 20.8 percent t $9.14 on Steve Ballmer’s most recent comment that Microsoft would not be making another take over offer.
– Media General lost nearly 30 percent of what was left of its value, closing at $2.96.
– McClatchy dropped nearly 22 percent to $1.51.
– Google dropped 5.8 percent to $280 – relatively decent on a dark day.
– New York Times Co. was down 10.3 percent to $6.35.
– News Corp dropped 4.8 percent to $6.55.

Maybe today will be a better one?

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WSJ.com earning $200 million from advertising and subscriptions

News Corp’s WSJ.com is making more than $200 million from advertising and subscriptions, PaidContent.org is reporting. CEO Rupert Murdoch told analysts during the company’s earnings call that the site is generating “probably $100 million in subscriptions and certainly over $100 million in advertising.” Murdoch added that WSJ.com is the “one Web site … people are happy to pay for.”

Print subscribers—and probably online, although Murdoch didn’t specify—will probably be looking at rate increases over the next three years. Other WSJ comments: News Corp. is looking to Asia for big international expansion, and Murdoch says there will be more developments bringing the paper’s Web site to mobile devices.

A related note from the conference call: growth at Fox Interactive Media, which includes MySpace, was up 17 percent.

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Tips from TV: how many online ads are too many?

Interesting story in this morning’s New York Times. Brian Stelter reviews online video site Hulu on its first anniversary. The site has received a lot of praise for its easy-to-use interface, but what’s most interesting is how it handles advertising. The key: more is less.

For media groups thinking about including video on their Web sites and not sure yet how to monetize that new media, Hulu’s experience is important to keep in mind.

Hulu streams TV programs that first appeared on broadcast television (the site is a co-production of NBC Universal and News Corp). While other TV sites try to jam as many ads as possible, only one ad is shown per segment break on Hulu. Fewer ads make the ones on the site more memorable, Hulu execs say, allowing the site to charge higher prices for the ad units. It benefits “advertisers as much as it is benefiting users,’ Jason Kilar, chief executive of the site, said.

The site has actually suffered a shortage of advertising lately due to the popularity of Saturday Night Live’s parodies of vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin. The first skit about Palin was viewed 14.3 million times online vs. only 10.2 million on television.

The difference can be seen most clearly in the ad time per show. On NBC’s “The Office,” the commercial broadcast had 8 minutes of ads while on Hulu, ads took up only 2 minutes. ABC.com has had similar results. The one ad per segment resulted in a 54 percent ad recall rate according to research conducted by ABC.

There are still some kinks to be worked out. For example, repetition of the same ads is a problem. On Hulu, the software remembers where you stop when watching a movie, but the same ads may come up again and again.

Nevertheless, a customer survey conducted by Insight Express for Hulu over the summer found that 76 percent of 18,000 respondents said the site had the right amount of ads.

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